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Thread: OBP and Sac Flies

  1. #1
    clubhouse cancer WiffleWOOD's Avatar
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    OBP and Sac Flies

    Here's a very interesting article from Athletics Nation. The author was looking into A's GM Billy Beane's career statistics as a player, and found that his batting average was actually higher than his OBP!

    how is this possible? shouldn't OBP be at the very least the exact same as your batting average?

    the answer lies in the factoring in of sacrifice flies....check out the article...

    http://www.athleticsnation.com/archi...86.html#000186

  2. #2
    Released Outright Dave in MD's Avatar
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    Sac flies is another thing the mainstream media is in love with. Of course, sac flies even out over time. Its also the reason why batting averages are usually higher with runners in scoring position.

  3. #3

    why shouldn't a batter be charged an AB

    for hitting a flyball out? I think SF is a silly stat.

  4. #4

    Re: why shouldn't a batter be charged an AB

    Originally posted by markp
    for hitting a flyball out? I think SF is a silly stat.
    i agree... unless a player is obviously giving himself up to advance a runner he should be charged with an atbat...

  5. #5

    Re: why shouldn't a batter be charged an AB

    Originally posted by markp
    for hitting a flyball out? I think SF is a silly stat.

    I suppose we'll soon see a SGO (Sacrifice Ground Out) if it scores a guy from third. What's the difference? The batter still gets a high five, right?

  6. #6
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    Re: why shouldn't a batter be charged an AB

    Originally posted by markp
    for hitting a flyball out? I think SF is a silly stat.
    True. There is no "sacrificing" done by the batter in this instance. He's not intentionally giving himself up to move the baserunner.

  7. #7

    reaching base on error

    This was posted on Athletics Nation:

    Sacrifice flies do count as plate appearances, they just don't count as at bats. OBP measure what percentage of a player's PA he reaches base, so this makes sense. The problem I have with OBP is that I think reaching base on an error (ROE) should count as getting on base.

    This is especially true since it has been shown that certain types of players tend to ROE more often that others: speedsters and power hitters.
    Posted by: Danny at April 2, 2004 02:06 PM


    I was surprised when I first found out that ROE was not factored into OBP, considering that during the PA the player reaches base. I cannot think of a good reason that ROE would not be included in OBP. Can anyone else?

  8. #8

    I agree with the last post

    especially since whether it's a hit or an error is sometimes decided be very unqualified people.

  9. #9

    Re: reaching base on error

    Originally posted by AngelAstro
    This was posted on Athletics Nation:

    Sacrifice flies do count as plate appearances, they just don't count as at bats. OBP measure what percentage of a player's PA he reaches base, so this makes sense. The problem I have with OBP is that I think reaching base on an error (ROE) should count as getting on base.

    This is especially true since it has been shown that certain types of players tend to ROE more often that others: speedsters and power hitters.
    Posted by: Danny at April 2, 2004 02:06 PM


    I was surprised when I first found out that ROE was not factored into OBP, considering that during the PA the player reaches base. I cannot think of a good reason that ROE would not be included in OBP. Can anyone else?

    good point

  10. #10
    Looking ahead to 2009... RIyankee's Avatar
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    Re: why shouldn't a batter be charged an AB

    Originally posted by markp
    for hitting a flyball out? I think SF is a silly stat.
    I wished Aaron Boone had gotten credit for one those silly stats in Game 4 of the 2003 WS.

  11. #11
    Looking ahead to 2009... RIyankee's Avatar
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    The second game in Japan opened my eyes to a misleading set of cirumstances...

    Against the DRays, with the game tied at 1-1, Jeremi Gonzalez walked Giambi and Sheffield. Then Posada comes up and he swings at the first pitch! The result of that swing was a weak flyball that goaded Giambi into a baserunning blunder resulting in a DP. Tony Clark then hits a 2-run HR that should have been a 3-run shot. After Matsui's HR and after the Yankees built up a 5-1 lead, Posada becomes a terror at the plate and bashes 2 3-run HRs as the Yankees won 12-1. The media was quick to point out Posada's 6 RBI's.

    A stat I'd like to see is a player's combined OBP and (SLG) when the that player's team is tied, up 1, and down 1. So many hitters pad their stats when the game is all but decided. This will separate the useful stats from the excess.

    Thoughts?

  12. #12
    Originally posted by RIyankee

    A stat I'd like to see is a player's combined OBP and (SLG) when the that player's team is tied, up 1, and down 1. So many hitters pad their stats when the game is all but decided. This will separate the useful stats from the excess.

    Thoughts?
    Most sabermetricians don't believe in clutch performances, to which you are alluding. Here is a nice article summarizing clutch performances:

    http://premium.baseballprospectus.co...articleid=2656

  13. #13
    Released Outright Dave in MD's Avatar
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    Originally posted by AngelAstro


    Most sabermetricians don't believe in clutch performances, to which you are alluding. Here is a nice article summarizing clutch performances:

    http://premium.baseballprospectus.co...articleid=2656
    or maybe this article would be better

    http://premium.baseballprospectus.co...articleid=2724

  14. #14
    Looking ahead to 2009... RIyankee's Avatar
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    Both articles were good.

    Thanks guys.

  15. #15
    Originally posted by Dave in MD


    or maybe this article would be better

    http://premium.baseballprospectus.co...articleid=2724
    That was fantastic.

  16. #16
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    yeah...i remember about reading about being 'clutch'. Like Billy Beane would say about the Division Series he says about batters being clutch. "It is just luck!"
    Is it wrong that I am in love with a Red Sox fan?

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