Chances of making the playoffs, depending upon league/division

[VFBundy]

I was discussing this with someone the other day, and he was wondering how the unbalanced leagues and divisions have an effect on a team's chance of making the playoffs. So...if my math is correct...chances on making the playoffs if you are an:

AL West team: 31.8%
AL East team: 27.3%
AL Central team: 27.3%
NL East team: 26.2%
NL West team: 26.2%
NL Central team: 23.1%

Just looking for someone to confirm my math.

Something about this doesn't seem right, especially between teams who are in the same league. (The NFL on the other hand...because of the balanced league and divisions...each team has exactly a 37.5% chance of making the playoffs.)

[yankees76]

On a related point, Alan Schwarz (formerly of BA, now with The Times) wrote a good article yesterday on how the machinations of interleague scheduling can unfairly prejudice certain teams and benefit others.

http://www.nytimes.com/2007/03/25/sports/baseball/25score.html?_r=2&ref=baseball&oref=slogin&oref=slogin

[Dave Visbeck]

I was discussing this with someone the other day, and he was wondering how the unbalanced leagues and divisions have an effect on a team's chance of making the playoffs. So...if my math is correct...chances on making the playoffs if you are an:

AL West team: 31.8%
AL East team: 27.3%
AL Central team: 27.3%
NL East team: 26.2%
NL West team: 26.2%
NL Central team: 23.1%

Just looking for someone to confirm my math.

Something about this doesn't seem right, especially between teams who are in the same league. (The NFL on the other hand...because of the balanced league and divisions...each team has exactly a 37.5% chance of making the playoffs.)


Any team in the friggin' division where the defending World Series Champion comes from ... with its silly under .500 record - including all playoff games and World Series games ... friggin' under .500 since the All-Star Game at least. Puss devision.